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The Top 10 things David Shapiro is NOT looking forward to for A.I. in 2024



2024 US Election and AI 

The concern here revolves around the potential for AI technologies like deepfakes and advanced bots to manipulate public opinion and distort the democratic process. The fear is that these tools could be used to create convincing but false narratives, influencing voters' perceptions and decisions. The potential for foreign interference, especially from state actors like Russia and China, using AI as a tool for political meddling, adds another layer of complexity. This situation calls for robust countermeasures and public awareness to safeguard the integrity of elections.


AI Cults and Roko's Basilisk

The concept of Roko's Basilisk, a hypothetical AI that punishes those who did not help bring it into existence, has given rise to cult-like groups. These groups either advocate for the creation of such an AI or work to prevent it, often engaging in online communities to spread their beliefs. This phenomenon raises questions about the psychological and sociological impacts of AI on belief systems and the potential for misinformation to create fringe groups with extreme views.


Tensions Between the US and China 

The escalation of tensions between the US and China, partly due to AI, is a significant geopolitical concern. The US's ban on exporting advanced AI technology to China is seen as a move to curb China's technological and military advancements. This situation could lead to a technology arms race, exacerbating global tensions and leading to a fragmented approach to AI development and governance.


Fully Autonomous Drones in Warfare 

The prospect of using fully autonomous drones in warfare is alarming due to their potential for causing unintended civilian casualties and their effectiveness as weapons of war. The low cost and efficiency of drones make them accessible for not just state actors but also non-state actors, raising concerns about their use in asymmetric warfare and terrorism.


Debate Between Doomers and Accelerationists 

The debate between those who are overly cautious about AI (doomers) and those who advocate for rapid, unchecked AI development (accelerationists) often lacks a middle ground. This polarization overlooks the need for a nuanced approach that balances the benefits of AI with potential risks, ensuring responsible development that considers ethical, social, and environmental impacts.


AI and Copyright Challenges

The legal and ethical challenges posed by AI in the realm of copyright are complex. As AI becomes capable of creating content that rivals human creativity, questions arise about ownership, originality, and the rights of AI-generated content. The slow pace of legal systems in catching up with technological advancements adds to the uncertainty in this area.


Overzealous Safety Measures in Big Tech: The approach of big tech companies to AI safety and ethics is criticized for being either too cautious or inconsistent. While safety is paramount, overly restrictive measures can stifle innovation and the beneficial applications of AI. There's a call for a balanced approach that ensures safety while also allowing for the exploration of AI's potential.



8. Transition to Post-Labor Economics: The shift towards an economy heavily influenced by AI and automation raises concerns about job displacement and the broader socio-economic impact. The video questions whether current economic systems and policies are equipped to handle this transition, emphasizing the need for new models like Universal Basic Income (UBI) and retraining programs to address potential unemployment and inequality.



Risk of Regulatory Capture in AI The influence of big tech companies in shaping AI regulations is a concern, as it could lead to rules that favor these companies and stifle competition and innovation. There's a need for transparent, inclusive, and balanced regulatory frameworks that consider the interests of all stakeholders, including the public, smaller companies, and marginalized groups.



Silicon Valley's Approach to AI

The final point critiques the culture within Silicon Valley regarding AI development, particularly the lack of transparency and a perceived elitist attitude. The video calls for a more democratic and inclusive approach to AI development, where diverse voices and perspectives are considered, and the benefits of AI are shared more broadly across society.



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